Latest Market News
Pound
Down As May Faces Political Noise, Dollar Rebounds But Tax Uncertainties Weigh
(13-Nov-2017 at 02:01:27 pm)
Forex markets were relatively quiet on Monday as economic releases
were limited. However, political challenges in the UK during the weekend,
pressured the pound, while the dollar managed to gain ground as investors were
widely expecting a third Fed rate hike despite continuing uncertainties around
the US tax overhaul lingering in the background.
Dollar
Mixed Amid A Slow Trading Day (13-Nov-2017 at 01:54:47
pm)
The US dollar was seen trading mixed earlier on Monday. Last
week, investors grew wary of the proposed tax reforms plans which are expected
to be delayed. On the economic front, the calendar was also quiet with only the
UK's manufacturing, construction, and industrial output data.
Currencies:
Dollar To Trade Cautiously Ahead Of Key Eco Data (13-Nov-2017 at
01:01:28 pm)
At the end of last week, the dollar couldn't profit even as core
bond yields maintained an upward bias. US traders look out for the key US eco
data later this week, including CPI and retail sales. Soft data won't derail a
Fed rate hike, but might still weigh on the USD. Sterling is again under
pressure as Conservative PM's are said to challenge PM May's leadership
Sterling
Slides, Bitcoin Tumbles & Investors Seeking More Clarity On Tax Reforms
(13-Nov-2017 at 12:41:43 pm)
Sterling fell more than 0.5% early Monday, after the Sunday
Times reported yesterday that 40 Conservative Party MPs agreed to sign a letter
of no confidence in the Prime Minister, Theresa May. While this remains short
of the 48 votes needed to force a new leadership, it still creates much
frustration amongst investors seeking clarity on Brexit negotiations. With
May’s position being potentially at risk and no significant progress after six
rounds of talks with EU, Sterling may come under increased pressure in the next
couple of days, with the 1.3024 support level at risk of being breached. A
leaked letter from Boris Johnson and Michael Gove pushing for Hard Brexit, add
to the uncertainty as House of Commons meet on Tuesday.
The
US And UK CPI Inflation For October (13-Nov-2017 at
12:20:29 pm)
On Friday, the ECB's Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny
(usually considered neutral) said in an interview that ECB's forward guidance
regarding key interest rates does not leave policy makers room to hike interest
rates before 2019. In addition, he said that the ECB should end QE after
September 2018 if the economy allows, which adds to the recent indications that
the Governing Council has shifted in a slightly more hawkish direction.
BOJ's
Kuroda Headlines Quiet Monday Session (13-Nov-2017 at
11:45:48 am)
A dearth of economic data on Monday will keep many traders on
the sidelines in anticipation of more worthwhile events later in the week. Bank
of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is the only noteworthy headline on
Monday. Kuroda will be covering “Current Issues of Monetary Policy” at the
University of Zurich. The speech is scheduled to occur at 17:45 GMT.
The
USD/JPY Is Building A Bullish Correction To The Top Of The Bearish Channel
(13-Nov-2017 at 11:35:00 am)
The Euro recently formed a decent support above 1.1550 against
the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair is recovering, but faces important resistances
like 1.1700, 1.1720 and 1.1760. The pair has moved above the 23.6% Fib
retracement level of the last drop from the 1.1836 high to 1.1554 low. However,
buyers seem to be struggling near the 1.1700 level and the 100 simple moving
average (red, 4-hour).
Aussie
Trading Marginally Lower In The Morning Session (13-Nov-2017 at
10:59:17 am)
The pair is expected to find support at 0.7636, and a fall
through could take it to the next support level of 0.7613. The pair is expected
to find its first resistance at 0.7689, and a rise through could take it to the
next resistance level of 0.7719.
Euro
Trading Lower In The Asian Session (13-Nov-2017 at
10:56:49 am)
The pair is expected to find support at 1.1625, and a fall
through could take it to the next support level of 1.1597. The pair is expected
to find its first resistance at 1.1680, and a rise through could take it to the
next resistance level of 1.1707.
Britain's
Manufacturing And Industrial Production Climbed Above Expectations In
September, Construction Output Dipped In The Same Month (13-Nov-2017
at 10:55:49 am)
The pair is expected to find support at 1.3076, and a fall
through could take it to the next support level of 1.3030. The pair is expected
to find its first resistance at 1.3199, and a rise through could take it to the
next resistance level of 1.3276.
Japanese
Yen Trading On A Weaker Footing This Morning (13-Nov-2017 at
10:53:56 am)
The pair is expected to find support at 113.36, and a fall
through could take it to the next support level of 113.05. The pair is expected
to find its first resistance at 113.85, and a rise through could take it to the
next resistance level of 114.03.
Swiss
Franc Extends Its Losses In The Asian Session (13-Nov-2017 at
10:51:48 am)
The pair is expected to find support at 0.9935, and a fall
through could take it to the next support level of 0.9905. The pair is expected
to find its first resistance at 0.9986, and a rise through could take it to the
next resistance level of 1.0007.
Loonie
Trading On A Weaker Footing This Morning (13-Nov-2017 at
10:49:59 am)
The pair is expected to find support at 1.2670, and a fall
through could take it to the next support level of 1.2653. The pair is expected
to find its first resistance at 1.2701, and a rise through could take it to the
next resistance level of 1.2715.
Market
Update - Asian Session: TPP Moves Ahead Without US As Trump Wraps Up Visit To
Asia (13-Nov-2017 at 10:48:26 am)
Following the declines seen in US equity markets on Friday's
session, Asian bourses have opened mixed. In South Korea, cosmetics companies
(including Amorepacific, LG Household and Cosmax) have traded higher, as
companies release their sales figures from China's ‘Singles Day.' Alibaba
reported that its gross merchandise value related to the annual shopping
festival rose by 39% y/y to $25.3B. Japan's Fast Retailing has declined by more
than 1.5%.
Did
OPEC Just Admit Defeat In The Shale Oil Wars? (13-Nov-2017 at
09:28:43 am)
The past week has been relatively interesting on the Crude Oil
news front as OPEC quietly released their 'World Oil Outlook' report. As usual,
the cartel largely shrugged off the growing risk around the arrival of peak oil
demand and largely painted a picture of improving price stability. However,
what was particularly illuminating is the fact that the cartel drastically
revised upward their assessment of U.S. shale oil production. Subsequently, the
question remains if OPEC is finally ready to admit defeat in their strategy to
crush shale oil producers.
Wobbles
And Squabbles (13-Nov-2017 at 07:33:57 am)
The market certainly had its Jekyll-and Hyde moments last week
as the torrent of interparty lobbying suggests we are nearing a now or never
moment for US tax reform. Digesting tax reform banter is an unsavoury business
as even the ambient noise is triggering unusual moves across asset classes
which has traders scurrying looking for answers. But when usual correlations
break down; it creates conflicting messages producing a scrambled picture and
price discovery becomes virtually impossible. Indeed, this partly explains some
of the last weeks dangerous market schizophrenia, however in this low
volatility environment with investors overly optimistic views likely stretched,
even the smallest shock can help trigger an outsized move. Besides with
Christmas just around the corner, investors will be more inclined to book
year-end profits adding to sell-off momentum.



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