Daily Out Look Of All Currencies
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. As long as 146.96 support holds, near term outlook remains bullish. Break of 152.93 will resume medium term rally and target 61.8% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 155.32.
EUR/JPY recovers mildly today but it's staying in corrective trading below 134.37 temporary top. We're favoring the case that medium term up trend is nearly ready to resume. Break of 134.48 will target 61.8% projection of 127.55 to 134.48 from 131.16 at 135.44 and then 100% projection at 138.09. However, firm break of 131.16 support will now indicate near term trend reversal and turn outlook bearish for 127.55 key support.
No change in EUR/GBP's outlook as it's staying in range of 0.8732/9032. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook stays bearish with 0.9032 resistance intact. That is, fall from 0.9305 is expected to resume later. Break of 0.8732 will target 0.8303 key support level. Nonetheless, decisive break of 0.9032 will confirm completion of the decline from 0.9305. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.9305 key resistance.
EUR/AUD rebounds further today but it's staying below 1.5770 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Overall, price actions from 1.5770 is seen as a consolidation pattern. In case of another fall, we'd expect strong support above 1.5226 key support to bring rebound. Medium term rally is still expected to resume later and break of 1.5770 will target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4949 at 1.5939 first.
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Near term outlook is unchanged. As noted before, persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD and rising wedge like structure suggests that the cross is near to forming a top, if not formed. Hence, even in case of another rise, we'd expect limited upside potential. On the downside, sustained break of 1.1584 support will be a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.
EUR/USD dips mildly lower today as pull back from 1.1960 extends. With 1.1712 support intact, fall from 1.1960 is viewed as a correction. Intraday bias stays neutral and another rise is expected. On the upside, break of 1.1960 will resume the rise from 1.1553 and target 1.2091 high first. Break there will resume medium term up trend from 1.0339 and target 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494, which is close to 1.2516 long term fibonacci level. We'd expect strong resistance from there to bring reversal. On the downside, break of 1.1712 will indicate completion of the rise from 1.1553 and turn near term outlook bearish.
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as it's staying in corrective pull back from 1.3549, held above 1.3337 resistance turned support. As long as 1.3337 remains intact, further rise is expected. Break of 1.3549 will target 1.3651 high and above. However, decisive break of 1.3337 will argue that rise from 1.3038 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. The pull back from 1.0037 should have completed at 0.9734 already. Further rise should be seen back to retest 1.0037. Break will resume whole rise from 0.9420 and target 61.8% projection of 0.9420 to 0.9734 from 1.0047 at 1.0115. On the downside, below 0.9836 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9374 instead.
Outlook in USD/JPY remains mixed with neutral intraday bias. On the upside, above 113.08 will extend the rebound from 110.83 to retest 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will extend the rally from 107.31 to retest 118.65 high. On the downside, break of 110.83 will resume the decline from 114.73 instead. But in that case, we'll look for bottoming again below 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14.
USD/CAD's strong rebound and suggests that consolidation from 1.2916 could have completed with three waves down to 1.2623. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.2916 resistance first. Break there will resume the rally from 1.2061 and target 1.3065 medium term fibonacci level next. In any case, near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.2598 resistance turned support holds
AUD/USD's break of 0.7550 minor support argues that consolidation from 0.7531 has completed with three waves up to 0.7653 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Break of 0.7531 low will resume whole fall from 0.8124 and target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.7729 resistance holds and further fall is expected.
EUR/USD's pull back from 1.1960 continues today but it's staying well above 1.1712 support so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first and another rise is still mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 1.1960 will resume the rise from 1.1553 and target 1.2091 high first. Break there will resume medium term up trend from 1.0339 and target 61.8% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.2494, which is close to 1.2516 long term fibonacci level. We'd expect strong resistance from there to bring reversal. On the downside, break of 1.1712 will indicate completion of the rise from 1.1553 and turn near term outlook bearish.
USD/CHF's break of 0.9881 resistance now suggests that pull back from 1.0037 has completed at 0.9734 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.0037 first. Break there will resume whole rise from 0.9420 and target 61.8% projection of 0.9420 to 0.9734 from 1.0047 at 1.0115. On the downside, below 0.9836 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9374 instead.
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and outlook is a bit mixed. On the upside, above 113.08 will extend the rebound from 110.83 to retest 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will extend the rally from 107.31 to retest 118.65 high. On the downside, break of 110.83 will resume the decline from 114.73 instead. But in that case, we'll look for bottoming again below 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14.
GBP/USD's pull back from 1.3549 extends to as low as 1.3357 so far today. But the pair is still staging above 1.3337 resistance turned support. Intraday bias remains neutral and another rise is still expected. Break of 1.3549 will target 1.3651 high and above. However, decisive break of 1.3337 will argue that rise from 1.3038 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.
GBP/JPY failed to sustain above 152.82 resistance and formed a temporary top at 152.93 and retreated. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. As long as 146.96 support holds, near term outlook remains bullish. Break of 152.93 will resume medium term rally and target 61.8% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 155.32.
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as it's staying in corrective trading below 134.37 temporary top. We're favoring the case that medium term up trend is nearly ready to resume. Break of 134.48 will target 61.8% projection of 127.55 to 134.48 from 131.16 at 135.44 and then 100% projection at 138.09. However, firm break of 131.16 support will now indicate near term trend reversal and turn outlook bearish for 127.55 key support.
EUR/AUD rebounds ahead of 1.5458 support and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Overall, price actions from 1.5770 is seen as a consolidation pattern. In case of another fall, we'd expect strong support above 1.5226 key support to bring rebound. Medium term rally is still expected to resume later and break of 1.5770 will target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4949 at 1.5939 first
No change in EUR/GBP as it's staying in range of 0.8732/9032. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook stays bearish with 0.9032 resistance intact. That is, fall from 0.9305 is expected to resume later. Break of 0.8732 will target 0.8303 key support level. Nonetheless, decisive break of 0.9032 will confirm completion of the decline from 0.9305. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.9305 key resistance.
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Near term outlook is unchanged. As noted before, persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD and rising wedge like structure suggests that the cross is near to forming a top, if not formed. Hence, even in case of another rise, we'd expect limited upside potential. On the downside, sustained break of 1.1584 support will be a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.
GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.3549 and intraday bias remains neutral. We'd expect downside of retreat to be contained by 1.3337 resistance turned support to bring another rise. Above 1.3549 will target 1.3651 and above. However, decisive break of 1.3337 will argue that rise from 1.3038 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.
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