Technical Out Look Of Major Pairs
Technical Out Look Of Major Pairs
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first. We maintained the view that EUR/CHF is close to topping, if not formed. This is supported by persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and rising wedge like structure. On the downside, break of 1.1597 support will will be a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.
AUD/USD's strong rebound and break of 0.7652 indicates short term bottoming at 0.7500, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is now on the upside for further rise. However, we'd expect strong resistance from 0.7732 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 0.8124 to 0.7500 at 0.77385) to limit upside to bring fall resumption. Below 0.7579 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.7500 and believe. However, sustained break of 0.7732 should invalidate our bearish view and bring stronger rise through 61.8% retracement at 0.7886.
USD/CAD is staying in range below 1.2916 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.2916 will resume whole rally from 1.2061 and target 1.3065 medium term fibonacci level next. In case of another fall, we'd expect strong support from 1.2598 to contain downside and bring rebound. However, sustained break of 1.2598 will argue that rebound from 1.2061 has completed after hitting 55 week EMA (now at 1.2888). Near term outlook will be turned bearish in this case.
USD/JPY's pull back from 113.74 extended lower but it's kept well above 111.98 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral and such decline is still seen as a correction. As noted before, as long as 111.98 support holds, further rally is expected in the pair. On the upside, above 113.68 will extend the rise from 110.83 to 114.73 resistance first. Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 107.31. More importantly, that will confirm completion of medium term correction from 118.65 at 107.31. In that case, retest of 118.65 should be seen next. However, break of 111.98 support will extend the correction from 114.73 with another fall, possibly to 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14 before completion
Strong break of 0.9981 support suggests that USD/CHF's rebound from 0.9734 has completed at 0.9977 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9734 and below to extend the correction from 1.0037. We'd expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 0.1.0037 at 0.9656 to contain downside and bring rebound On the upside, above 0.9895 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9977 instead.
GBP/USD recovers on dollar weakness but stays below 1.3549, intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 1.3220 support holds, we'd continue to favor another rise. On the upside, break of 1.3549 will target 1.3651 high next. However, firm break of 1.3220 will turn near term outlook bearish for 1.3038 key support level.
EUR/USD's strong break of 1.1814 resistance suggest that corrective pull back from 1.1960 has completed at 1.1717 already. Also, as the pair defended 1.1712 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.1553 to 1.1960 at 1.1708), near term bullish outlook is retained. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.1960 first. Break will target 1.2029 high next. And even in case of retreat, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1708/12 cluster support holds.
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral with focus on 1.1712 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.1553 to 1.1960 at 1.1708). On the downside, decisive break of 1.1708/12 will indicate that rebound from 1.1553 has completed at 1.1960. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 1.1553 and possibly below to extend the decline from 1.2091. On the upside, break of 1.1814 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness. And in that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1960. Break will target 1.2091 high.
No change in GBP/USD's outlook has pull back from 1.3549 is extending. intraday bias remains neutral at this point. As long as 1.3220 support holds, we'd continue to favor another rise. On the upside, break of 1.3549 will target 1.3651 high next. However, firm break of 1.3220 will turn near term outlook bearish for 1.3038 key support level.
At this point, USD/CHF is held in range of 0.9881/9977 and intraday bias stays neutral first. As long as 0.9881 support holds, we're favoring the bullish case. That is correction from 1.0037 has completed at 0.9734 already. Break of 0.9977 will target 1.0037 high first. Break there will resume rise from 0.9420 to 61.8% projection of 0.9420 to 0.9734 from 1.0047 at 1.0115 next. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9881 support will dampen this immediate bullish case and turn bias to the downside for 0.9734 instead.
USD/JPY's pull back from 113.74 accelerates lower in early US session. But it's seen as a correction and thus, intraday bias remains neutral first. As noted before, as long as 111.98 support holds, further rally is expected in the pair. On the upside, above 113.68 will extend the rise from 110.83 to 114.73 resistance first. Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 107.31. More importantly, that will confirm completion of medium term correction from 118.65 at 107.31. In that case, retest of 118.65 should be seen next. However, break of 111.98 support will extend the correction from 114.73 with another fall, possibly to 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14 before completion.
GBP/JPY's corrective fall from 153.39 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 149.74 support holds, outlook remains bullish in the cross. Break of 153.39 will resume the medium term up trend and target 61.8% projection of 139.29 to 152.82 from 146.96 at 155.32. However, break of 149.74 will dampen our bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 146.96 key support instead.
EUR/JPY is still confined in range of 131.16/134.48 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected as long as 131.16 support holds. Decisive break of 134.48 will resume medium term rise from 114.84 and target 141.04 resistance next. However, sustained break of 131.16 support will now indicate near term trend reversal and turn outlook bearish for 127.55 key support.
EUR/AUD's correction from 1.5770 is still extending and deeper fall could be seen. But downside should be contained above 1.5226 key support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.5770 will resume the medium term rise and target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4949 at 1.5939 first.
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral at this point. With 0.8866 resistance intact, near term outlook remains mildly bearish and deeper fall is expected. Break of 0.8688 will extend the fall from 0.9305 and target 61.8% projection of 0.9305 to 0.8745 from 0.8981 at 0.8468 first and then 100% projection at 0.8151 next. However, break of 0.8866 resistance will indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 0.8981 resistance instead.
EUR/CHF dips notably but is held above 1.1597 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. We maintained the view that EUR/CHF is close to topping, if not formed. This is supported by persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and rising wedge like structure. On the downside, break of 1.1597 support will will be a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.
AUD/USD recovers further today but it's seen as staying in corrective trading above 0.7500. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Upside of recovery should be limited below 0.7652 resistance to bring fall resumption. Break of 0.7500 will extend the fall from 0.8124 and target 0.7322/8 cluster support next. Nonetheless, decisive break of 0.7652 will indicate near term reversal and bring stronger rebound back to 0.7732 support turned resistance.
USD/CAD is staying in range below 1.2916 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.2916 will resume whole rally from 1.2061 and target 1.3065 medium term fibonacci level next. In case of another fall, we'd expect strong support from 1.2598 to contain downside and bring rebound. However, sustained break of 1.2598 will argue that rebound from 1.2061 has completed after hitting 55 week EMA (now at 1.2888). Near term outlook will be turned bearish in this case.
USD/JPY edged higher to 113.74 but quickly retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 111.98 support holds, further rally is expected in the pair. On the upside, above 113.68 will extend the rise from 110.83 to 114.73 resistance first. Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 107.31. More importantly, that will confirm completion of medium term correction from 118.65 at 107.31. In that case, retest of 118.65 should be seen next. However, break of 111.98 support will extend the correction from 114.73 with another fall, possibly to 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14 before completion.
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9977 is still extending. As long as 0.9881 support holds, we're favoring the bullish case. That is correction from 1.0037 has completed at 0.9734 already. Break of 0.9977 will target 1.0037 high first. Break there will resume rise from 0.9420 to 61.8% projection of 0.9420 to 0.9734 from 1.0047 at 1.0115 next. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9881 support will dampen this immediate bullish case and turn bias to the downside for 0.9734 instead.
The correction from 1.3549 is still in progress and deep fall could be seen. Still, as long as 1.3220 support holds, we'd continue to favor another rise. On the upside, break of 1.3549 will target 1.3651 high next. However, firm break of 1.3220 will turn near term outlook bearish for 1.3038 key support level.
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